Paper List
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Nyxus: A Next Generation Image Feature Extraction Library for the Big Data and AI Era
This paper addresses the core pain point of efficiently extracting standardized, comparable features from massive (terabyte to petabyte-scale) biomedi...
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Topological Enhancement of Protein Kinetic Stability
This work addresses the long-standing puzzle of why knotted proteins exist by demonstrating that deep knots provide a functional advantage through enh...
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A Multi-Label Temporal Convolutional Framework for Transcription Factor Binding Characterization
This paper addresses the critical limitation of existing TF binding prediction methods that treat transcription factors as independent entities, faili...
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Social Distancing Equilibria in Games under Conventional SI Dynamics
This paper solves the core problem of proving the existence and uniqueness of Nash equilibria in finite-duration SI epidemic games, showing they are a...
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Binding Free Energies without Alchemy
This paper addresses the core bottleneck of computational expense in Absolute Binding Free Energy calculations by eliminating the need for numerous al...
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SHREC: A Spectral Embedding-Based Approach for Ab-Initio Reconstruction of Helical Molecules
This paper addresses the core bottleneck in cryo-EM helical reconstruction: eliminating the dependency on accurate initial symmetry parameter estimati...
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Budget-Sensitive Discovery Scoring: A Formally Verified Framework for Evaluating AI-Guided Scientific Selection
This paper addresses the critical gap in evaluating AI-guided scientific selection strategies under realistic budget constraints, where existing metri...
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Probabilistic Joint and Individual Variation Explained (ProJIVE) for Data Integration
This paper addresses the core challenge of accurately decomposing shared (joint) and dataset-specific (individual) sources of variation in multi-modal...
Fast and Accurate Node-Age Estimation Under Fossil Calibration Uncertainty Using the Adjusted Pairwise Likelihood
Department of Statistics, University of Georgia, Athens, 30601, USA
30秒速读
IN SHORT: This paper addresses the dual challenge of computational inefficiency and sensitivity to fossil calibration errors in Bayesian divergence time estimation for large phylogenomic datasets.
核心创新
- Methodology Introduces two Adjusted Pairwise Likelihood (APW) formulations (APW1 and APW2) that use asymptotic moment-matching weights to correct composite likelihoods within a Bayesian MCMC framework.
- Methodology Demonstrates that APW methods reduce computational cost by more than an order of magnitude compared to full-likelihood methods while maintaining comparable accuracy in node-age estimation.
- Methodology Shows that APW methods exhibit greater robustness to fossil misplacement and prior misspecification due to the reduced sensitivity of composite likelihoods to local calibration errors.
主要结论
- APW methods produce node-age estimates statistically comparable to full-likelihood methods across diverse simulation scenarios, with reduced sensitivity to local calibration errors.
- Applied to a genome-scale avian dataset, APW recovered divergence time patterns consistent with recent studies while achieving a >10x reduction in computational cost.
- The robustness of APW to fossil misplacement stems from the composite likelihood's inherent property of being less sensitive to errors in individual calibration points, as demonstrated in simulations modeling various prior misspecifications.
摘要: Estimating divergence times from molecular sequence data is central to reconstructing the evolutionary history of lineages. Although Bayesian relaxed-clock methods provide a principled framework for incorporating fossil information, their dependence on repeated evaluations of the full phylogenetic likelihood makes them computationally demanding for large genomic datasets. Furthermore, because disagreements in divergence-time estimates often arise from uncertainty or error in fossil placement and prior specification, there is a need for methods that are both computationally efficient and robust to fossil-calibration uncertainty. In this study, we introduce fast and accurate alternatives based on the phylogenetic pairwise composite likelihood, presenting two adjusted pairwise likelihood (APW) formulations that employ asymptotic moment-matching weights to better approximate the behavior of the full likelihood within a Bayesian MCMC framework. Extensive simulations across diverse fossil-calibration scenarios show that APW methods produce node-age estimates comparable to those obtained from the full likelihood while offering greater robustness to fossil misplacement and prior misspecification, due to the reduced sensitivity of composite likelihoods to local calibration errors. Applied to a genome-scale dataset of modern birds, APW methods recover divergence time patterns consistent with recent studies, while reducing computational cost by more than an order of magnitude. Overall, our results demonstrate that adjusted pairwise likelihoods provide a calibration-robust and computationally efficient framework for Bayesian node dating, especially suited for large phylogenomic datasets and analyses in which fossil priors may be uncertain or imperfectly placed.