Paper List
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Macroscopic Dominance from Microscopic Extremes: Symmetry Breaking in Spatial Competition
This paper addresses the fundamental question of how microscopic stochastic advantages in spatial exploration translate into macroscopic resource domi...
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Linear Readout of Neural Manifolds with Continuous Variables
This paper addresses the core challenge of quantifying how the geometric structure of high-dimensional neural population activity (neural manifolds) d...
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Theory of Cell Body Lensing and Phototaxis Sign Reversal in “Eyeless” Mutants of Chlamydomonas
This paper solves the core puzzle of how eyeless mutants of Chlamydomonas exhibit reversed phototaxis by quantitatively modeling the competition betwe...
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Cross-Species Transfer Learning for Electrophysiology-to-Transcriptomics Mapping in Cortical GABAergic Interneurons
This paper addresses the challenge of predicting transcriptomic identity from electrophysiological recordings in human cortical interneurons, where li...
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Uncovering statistical structure in large-scale neural activity with Restricted Boltzmann Machines
This paper addresses the core challenge of modeling large-scale neural population activity (1500-2000 neurons) with interpretable higher-order interac...
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Realizing Common Random Numbers: Event-Keyed Hashing for Causally Valid Stochastic Models
This paper addresses the critical problem that standard stateful PRNG implementations in agent-based models violate causal validity by making random d...
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A Standardized Framework for Evaluating Gene Expression Generative Models
This paper addresses the critical lack of standardized evaluation protocols for single-cell gene expression generative models, where inconsistent metr...
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Single Molecule Localization Microscopy Challenge: A Biologically Inspired Benchmark for Long-Sequence Modeling
This paper addresses the core challenge of evaluating state-space models on biologically realistic, sparse, and stochastic temporal processes, which a...
Fluctuating Environments Favor Extreme Dormancy Strategies and Penalize Intermediate Ones
Universidad de Córdoba, Spain | Istituto Nazionale di Oceanografia e Geofisica Sperimentale (OGS), Italy | Universidad de Granada, Spain
30秒速读
IN SHORT: This paper addresses the core challenge of determining how organisms should tune dormancy duration to match the temporal autocorrelation of their environment, revealing that intermediate dormancy times are systematically maladaptive.
核心创新
- Theory Identifies a generic mechanism where the interplay between demographic delay (dormancy) and environmental autocorrelation generates a strongly non-monotonic fitness landscape.
- Methodology Develops a parsimonious delayed-logistic model with colored multiplicative noise (dichotomous Markov noise) to analytically and numerically dissect the three-regime population performance.
- Biology Demonstrates evolutionary bistability, where selection favors either very short or very long dormancy strategies, systematically avoiding the maladaptive intermediate regime, as confirmed by an agent-based model.
主要结论
- For a population near the critical threshold (b ≳ d), the mean linear growth rate G(α) exhibits a local minimum at intermediate dormancy durations when noise amplitude σ or correlation time τ exceed a threshold, making this strategy globally least favorable (Figure 4).
- The stationary mean population density x* shows a pronounced depression (a 'valley') for intermediate α combined with strong environmental noise (σ > 0), which deepens and broadens as σ increases, potentially driving extinction (Figure 3).
- Evolutionary simulations confirm bistable selection: populations evolve towards either very short (α → 0) or very long (α ≳ 5) dormancy extremes, with the intermediate regime (e.g., α = 1) consistently leading to population collapse.
摘要: Dormancy is a widespread adaptive strategy that enables biological populations to persist in fluctuating environments. Yet how its evolutionary benefits depend on the temporal structure of environmental variability, and whether dormancy can become systematically maladaptive, remains poorly understood. Here we examine how dormancy interacts with environmental correlation times using a parsimonious delayed-logistic model in which dormant individuals reactivate after a fixed lag while birth rates fluctuate under temporally correlated stochasticity. Numerical simulations and analytical calculations reveal that the joint effect of demographic memory and colored multiplicative noise generates a strongly non-monotonic dependence of fitness on dormancy duration, with three distinct regimes of population performance. Very short dormancy maximizes linear growth but amplifies fluctuations and extinction risk. Very long dormancy buffers environmental variability, substantially increasing mean extinction times despite slower growth. Strikingly, and central to our results, there is a broad band of intermediate dormancy durations that is maladaptive, simultaneously reducing both growth and persistence—an effect that arises generically from the mismatch between delay times and environmental autocorrelation. The predicted bistability between short- and long-dormancy strategies is confirmed in an evolutionary agent-based model, which avoids intermediate lag times and selects for evolutionarily stable extremes. Our results show that dormancy duration is not merely a life-history parameter but an adaptive mechanism tuned to environmental timescales, and that “dangerous middle” dormancy times can be inherently disfavored, with implications for understanding persistence in seed banks, microbial persisters, and cancer cell dormancy. More broadly, this work identifies a general mechanism by which demographic delays interacting with correlated environmental variability generate a non-monotonic fitness landscape that selects for extreme timing strategies, and raises fundamental questions on analyzing delayed, non-Markovian dynamics driven by correlated multiplicative noise near absorbing boundaries.