Paper List
-
Autonomous Agents Coordinating Distributed Discovery Through Emergent Artifact Exchange
This paper addresses the fundamental limitation of current AI-assisted scientific research by enabling truly autonomous, decentralized investigation w...
-
D-MEM: Dopamine-Gated Agentic Memory via Reward Prediction Error Routing
This paper addresses the fundamental scalability bottleneck in LLM agentic memory systems: the O(N²) computational complexity and unbounded API token ...
-
Countershading coloration in blue shark skin emerges from hierarchically organized and spatially tuned photonic architectures inside skin denticles
This paper solves the core problem of how blue sharks achieve their striking dorsoventral countershading camouflage, revealing that coloration origina...
-
Human-like Object Grouping in Self-supervised Vision Transformers
This paper addresses the core challenge of quantifying how well self-supervised vision models capture human-like object grouping in natural scenes, br...
-
Hierarchical pp-Adic Framework for Gene Regulatory Networks: Theory and Stability Analysis
This paper addresses the core challenge of mathematically capturing the inherent hierarchical organization and multi-scale stability of gene regulator...
-
Towards unified brain-to-text decoding across speech production and perception
This paper addresses the core challenge of developing a unified brain-to-text decoding framework that works across both speech production and percepti...
-
Dual-Laws Model for a theory of artificial consciousness
This paper addresses the core challenge of developing a comprehensive, testable theory of consciousness that bridges biological and artificial systems...
-
Pulse desynchronization of neural populations by targeting the centroid of the limit cycle in phase space
This work addresses the core challenge of determining optimal pulse timing and intensity for desynchronizing pathological neural oscillations when the...
Emergent Bayesian Behaviour and Optimal Cue Combination in LLMs
Huawei Noah’s Ark Lab, London, UK | AI Centre, Department of Computer Science, University College London, London, UK
30秒速读
IN SHORT: This paper addresses the critical gap in understanding whether LLMs spontaneously develop human-like Bayesian strategies for processing uncertain information, revealing that high accuracy does not guarantee robust multimodal integration.
核心创新
- Methodology Introduces BayesBench, the first psychophysics-inspired behavioral benchmark for LLMs with four magnitude estimation tasks (length, location, distance, duration) across text and image modalities.
- Methodology Develops Bayesian Consistency Score (BCS) to detect Bayes-consistent behavioral shifts even when accuracy saturates, enabling separation of capability from computational strategy.
- Biology Demonstrates emergent Bayesian behavior in capable LLMs without explicit training, with Llama-4 Maverick showing cue-combination efficiency exceeding human biological systems (RRE > 1 against Bayesian oracle).
主要结论
- GPT-5 Mini achieves perfect text accuracy (NRMSE ≈ 0) but fails to integrate visual cues efficiently, showing poor cue-combination efficiency (RRE < 1) despite high capability.
- Llama-4 Maverick demonstrates emergent Bayesian behavior with cue-combination efficiency exceeding Bayesian reliability-weighted baselines (RRE > 1), suggesting non-linear integration strategies.
- Bayesian Consistency Score reveals that more accurate models show stronger evidence of Bayesian behavior, with BCS positively correlated with accuracy across nine evaluated LLMs.
摘要: Large language models (LLMs) excel at explicit reasoning, but their implicit computational strategies remain underexplored. Decades of psychophysics research show that humans intuitively process and integrate noisy signals using near-optimal Bayesian strategies in perceptual tasks. We ask whether LLMs exhibit similar behaviour and perform optimal multimodal integration without explicit training or instruction. Adopting the psychophysics paradigm, we infer computational principles of LLMs from systematic behavioural studies. We introduce a behavioural benchmark - BayesBench: four magnitude estimation tasks (length, location, distance, and duration) over text and image, inspired by classic psychophysics, and evaluate a diverse set of nine LLMs alongside human judgments for calibration. Through controlled ablations of noise, context, and instruction prompts, we measure performance, behaviour and efficiency in multimodal cue-combination. Beyond accuracy and efficiency metrics, we introduce a Bayesian Consistency Score that detects Bayes-consistent behavioural shifts even when accuracy saturates. Our results show that while capable models often adapt in Bayes-consistent ways, accuracy does not guarantee robustness. Notably, GPT-5 Mini achieves perfect text accuracy but fails to integrate visual cues efficiently. This reveals a critical dissociation between capability and strategy, suggesting accuracy-centric benchmarks may over-index on performance while missing brittle uncertainty handling. These findings reveal emergent principled handling of uncertainty and highlight the correlation between accuracy and Bayesian tendencies. We release our psychophysics benchmark and consistency metric as evaluation tools and to inform future multimodal architecture designs111Project webpage: https://bayes-bench.github.io.